The Stock Market Keeps Going Up! Do this Now!
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The stock market keeps going up! Believe it or not, The NASDAQ is now up year to date and S&P 500 is now positive in the past 1 year! This is unreal the way stocks have jumped back and the stock market, in general, has jumped back.
This stock market is going to make retail investors FOMO into it I can feel. Everyone sees stocks keep going up and money being made and they are going to want a piece. Do NOT FOMO into this stock market. It usually ends badly for investors who do that.
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Who smokers is a no jokers. Look at the stock market guys. It is up again today. I mean it is Green Day after Green Day in the stock market. It’s ridiculous right now. s&p 500 up another 1.31% here day NASDAQ over 9000. Who would ever thump them and see NASDAQ over 9000.
This year okay, maybe in future years. Yeah, but I mean to get back over 9000 this year that is on believable. The public account is up nearly $25,000 today just one of my stock market accounts. That’s ridiculous. I could have never like dreamt this stuff like what in the world is going on out there?
The Nasdaq is now listen to this. Okay. Think about everything that has transpired over the past year, and specifically over the past few months. Right. The Nasdaq is now up here today. Yes, you heard me right. It is up year to date. I mean, you couldn’t make this stuff up. This is just ridiculous. Okay.
The Nasdaq in the past one year is up almost 15%. Think about that up almost 15% with the fact that the economy has gone from, you know, being in a very good place over the past year to basically being in just a messy, messy place. I mean, that’s just unbelievable, right?
The s&p 500 and other people say well, the NASDAQ’s mostly tech stocks and some of these tech stocks are holding up pretty well. True. And some of them are okay, about one out of 10 tech stocks is actually doing really good and benefiting from this.
The other nine out of 10 are doing bad. s&p 500 the majority of these companies are being hurt, okay, year to date, the s&p 500 down less than 10%. Now, and for the past one year, the s&p 500 is now officially up. 1.37%. Think about that, for a moment. corporate earnings have fallen through the floor, unemployment rates have skyrocketed.
GDP is on the biggest declines we’ve seen in a long, long time. Corporations just to make it through I’ve taken out crazy levels of debt and some at some pretty decently high interest rates. And yet the s&p 500 is actually up in the past one year, you can’t make this stuff up.
This deserves to have its own movie. Oh, my goodness, guys. I mean, it literally you could you could go through any economist, you could ask any like stock market expert, you know, last year at this time and tell him the whole scenario was going to play out the way it was going to play out.
And I can guarantee you every single stock market investor famous ones, non famous ones, every single hedge fund manager would say there’s no way the stock market would be up with all that that would have transpired. And yet here we are with the s&p 500. now officially up in the past one year, it is unbelievable.
Record 20 point 5 million jobs lost in April, as unemployment rate jumps to 14.7%. He mind the Great Recession, the unemployment rate jumped jumped as far as the government one, just a little over 10%. So this is, you know, dramatically worse, you know, probably get a little bit worse over the next few weeks before starting to hopefully bounce back a little bit.
Okay, one in five American workers has filed for unemployment benefits since mid March since mid March. Now some people like to look at what’s called the quote unquote, real unemployment rate. Okay. I’ve always heard a lot about this. over times people say don’t actually look at the government provide a one talk about the real unemployment rate.
Okay, okay, we can do that. The real unemployment rate soars past 24.9% in the US has now lost 33 point 5 million mimimum a million jobs. That is incredible. Okay. And meanwhile, we’re looking at a market that’s just a green and it’s not just like the US market. Look at the EU look at Asia.
I mean, all these markets are green, green, green, green, green, okay. And this is this is frustrating a lot of people even you know, it’s frustrating Long’s like myself that have the majority of our wealth actually invest in the stock market, we’re kind of feeling some kind of way about this right? People that are on the sidelines, they completely don’t have any money in the stock market.
They’re definitely definitely feeling some kind of way about this watching the market go up and up every day. I mean, so people are blaming us on on a few different things. Some people are blaming this market uptrend on stimulus checks and people like getting the stimulus checks and putting them in their Robinhood accounts because they can’t really like spend it there’s nowhere to spend it.
So they’re like putting it in the Robin Hood account or, or or whatever account they have. And they’re like, oh, let me just, you know, invest this money some people are blaming on the Fed and the fed you know, and their quote unquote, printing of money and it’s just, you know, flooding money out there in the market.
And that’s why the stock market’s going up. Some people are saying, well, it’s just a rich, the rich need somewhere to put money, they’re afraid of inflation, so they just got to buy stocks. And so you know, everybody’s blaming on anything, and the fact is, I don’t even know anymore, guys, I don’t even know any more.
Who knows why the market just keeps going up. I mean, it doesn’t matter what comes out for bad news. The corporate earnings are trashed right now. Unemployment rates are you know, it doesn’t matter. There’s nothing that can be said At the moment, at least, you know, things can change very quickly. But at the moment, it doesn’t matter, we’re getting every piece of bad news you could ever possibly get to lower a stock market.
And it literally doesn’t matter. They could, the unemployment rate could be 30% tomorrow, and somehow the market wouldn’t go down. That’s just where the markets at right now. It’s just enter in a place where it’s just I don’t know, it’s just going up and up and up.
There’s nothing that can enol in the stock market goes the other way, sometimes, where it doesn’t matter what good news can come out, the stock market just wants to go down. That happens all the time. guys literally, like that happens all the time, like we will get into a market that’s so ugly.
That the market will look at everything with a negative lens, and it doesn’t matter what’s happening in the stock market doesn’t matter what happened with corporate earnings, the markets going down, it happens like that. Sometimes we’re just on the flip side of this.
Okay, so what I really want to talk about now we understand what’s going on in the market, right? We understand that the market is super hot right now we know that right? So what to do in the market right now and what to not do in this type of stock market.
I want to kind of give you guys a few pieces of advice in my personal opinion, because I’m seeing some people doing some things out there that I’m like, okay, be a little careful with that. And so I want to kind of share my thoughts there. So hope you guys enjoyed it.
As always, make sure you smash the thumbs up. And by cybertruck You know, that’s all asked for you for watching this video, just buy a cybertruck and hit a thumbs up it’s not that hard. Okay, number one, don’t FOMO buy this market. Okay, if FOMO By the way, for those of you guys who don’t know, it’s a fear of missing out and this is what happens in not just the stock market but any asset prices where people see them continuing to go up and up and up and up.
People start to think about I just got to get into that I just got to get in it man let me just throw my money in it let me just throw my savings in it because it just keeps going up everybody’s making so much money and I just got FOMO by and you know it’s an expression that really got popular when Bitcoin kept going up I think that was December of 2017 I want to say somewhere around there Bitcoin and all the kryptos kept going up like crazy kept going up like crazy.
And like people started buying Bitcoin didn’t even know what the heck up Bitcoin was, or, or just all the kryptos in general. And it was just, it was a crazy time in that asset prices. And you know, we can definitely worry about something like that happening in this type of stock my stock market.
So don’t FOMO buy. And I understand you know, you see your neighbor over there. And he’s like, Oh, yeah, man structure a big I’m making money like crazy. Okay. And then you got to get together with your family and your brothers like, Oh, yeah, man, I just made $5,000 on stocks today.
Okay, whatever. And you see the public counts up nearly $25,000 today, and you just see all this positivity. In terms of the markets. You see the NASDAQ up almost 15% year to date, you’re looking at all this, and it can lead to FOMO it absolutely can lead to FOMO where you just start feeling like Gosh, I just got it.
I just got to put my money in. I just got to do it here today, right now, this is a moment because everybody’s making money. And I’m just saying like, that’s not the right approach. Okay, that is not the right approach at all to this market.
You don’t want to just you know, throw money out there and FOMO by cuz I’ve just seen it time and time again, people who FOMO by any asset price are always the ones that get hurt the worst Okay, you got to know what you’re doing. You got to know what you’re looking for.
And if you just throwing money in usually it’s a big mistake. Okay, number two, I think I got five total for you guys here today. Number two, do buy a stock if the valuation is good. Okay, so the stock market right now mostly stocks are in my opinion overvalued.
Considering the type of market we’re in the type of uncertainty, we have the type of balance sheets these companies have now, which is most of them have a lot worse balance sheets, let’s put it that way than they had literally just two or three months ago.
The earnings is is you know, it’s just complete trash compared to what it was. But there are some stocks that the valuations do line up, it’s very few and far between but do buy a stock if you love the company in the valuation is right. Okay. You guys know, I spent a little bit of money yesterday, I bought some, you know, Berkshire Hathaway stock just a little bit, just a little bit of Berkshire Hathaway stock.
Okay, so 99% plus of these stocks are what I call NAS right now, okay, where it’s just like, if you’re investing them, you’re probably buying at an overvalued valuation, considering the real market uncertainty and the fact that we don’t know what the heck is going to go on over the next three to six months.
And Heck, we don’t even know what’s going on over the next one to two years. It’s just the picture out there. It’s so cloudy. You can’t see through it. You can hope there’s light on the other side. But really, if you’re if you’re putting money in in most of the stocks right now, especially these ones that have gone up tremendously right from the lows with some of the stocks are up 100% plus from the march lows, if you’re putting money in them.
It’s just a cloudy picture. The fact is, you could you could hope everything bounces right back, but that may not be what happens. Okay, so 99% of the stocks right now are not and maybe 1% or less than 1% of the stocks, or yes is right now.
And that’s advantage to be in a stock picker and know what you’re looking for in the market because you can identify Some opportunities in the market that are actually good long term buys here, but it’s very few and far between, like, let me just make that very clear, mostly stocks are in very dangerous levels.
Considering the type of market uncertainty we have the type of, you know, economic unclear ness, we have number three of these five is don’t have high expectations for the next two to three years if you’re buying index funds. So usually people buy an index fund, they put money in index funds, which usually if they’re putting money in an index index fund, it’s just something to track the s&p 500.
Right. So they’re putting money into this index fund in hopes that they’ll get eight to 10% on their money per year, something like that. Yeah, I’m here to tell you, you know, if you’re putting your money in an index fund, there’s certainly nothing wrong with that, you know, you’re free to do whatever you want to do.
So in terms of index funds don’t have that expectation of eight to 10% over the next few years, in my personal opinion, because at the end of the day, you know, outside of a scenario where corporate earnings bounce right back in 2021, outside of that scenario, you’re probably not going to get those type of gains, because s&p 500 a lot of what it moves on is not just like hope and you know, hoping that things will be good and inflation fears and things like that.
It also moves on to the fact that, you know, whatever analysts believe are going to be the earnings for the s&p 500 as a total. So outside of a scenario where things would come back super strong, you know, don’t have that very high expectations for your index funds in terms of growing money.
Okay, number four, that’s a big one for a lot of the dividend investors out there. And people that are individual stock pickers in general, don’t expect dividend stocks to return in 2020 if they cut their dividends, okay? Basically, a lot of companies have cut dividends out there a lot of companies that usually pay dividends and pretty consistently have had to cut them and it’s not because these companies have made poor decisions necessarily.
It’s not because these are bad companies. It’s just because we’ve gotten hit by a once in 100 year event and they’ve had to cut their dividend there’s just really no no load choice for them a lot of these stocks if there was a normal recession scenario, they could easily still continue to pay out the dividend but some of them just have had a cut don’t expect these companies to return their dividend this year. Okay.
And maybe not even next year, maybe 2022 you’re looking at for instance, let me give you an example of one of the dividend stocks I hold I hold a lot of different companies that pay dividends one of them let me give you an example this Wynn resorts right Wynn resorts obviously they had a closer their Macau properties in Macau business even though they’ve opened them back up, it’s down significantly right?
Their Las Vegas properties are supposed to open up back up sometime soon sometime this month. But we know those properties have been closed for an extended period of time and the company’s cut their dividend to zero which saves them about $100 million a quarter so it’s not like it’s a small amount of money this is a large large amount of money okay.
In my opinion, Wynn resorts will pay a dividend at the earliest at the earliest again in 2021 but it could be till 2022 in order for there’s no way they’re paying a dividend 2020 in my opinion why because there’s no way their properties are going to be packed in the the EBIT da from the properties are going to be anywhere remotely close to where they were, I just don’t see that scenario.
I mean, unless everybody just magically wants to go on trips right away again, I don’t I don’t really foresee that. Remember, it’s not just fears about people getting sick themselves. It’s fears about what if I get it and give it to someone that’s at risk. Okay, so there’s that whole fear out there.
So at the end of the day, in my opinion, winning resorts will not bring their dividend back to until 2021 at the earliest if not 2022 and I have this peg for a lot of stocks I hold I mean almost all stocks I hold that have cut dividends. I have no plans in my opinion for them to bring back dividends this year.
It’s just super unrealistic. And so if you’re you have these hopes Oh, yeah, you know, Carnival Cruise Line is going to bring back their dividend this year Dream on Okay, Dream on, it’s not happening. Maybe 2021 probably not so realistic either. 2022 Yeah, I can definitely see a lot of these companies bringing their dividends back and then there’s going to be fun again. Okay.
And number five, I just want to bring this up again, don’t FOMO by Okay, don’t FOMO by this market, make sure you know what you’re looking into and all those sorts of things. Okay, I have some free resources linked for you guys down there in the description when it’s called How to outperform the stock market and other ones basically tells you a little bit about my story and kind of a private group.
Now the one I think is you know, mistakes to avoid in the stock market right now. All those are free down there in the description area. So make sure you check out those Hope you guys enjoyed today’s video, as always, make sure to smash the thumbs up and leave me a comment on what your opinion is on the stock market right now and what you’re doing in the stock market.
And by the way, if you’re thinking about shorting, buying put options, just be careful. It’s tough to fight the Fed. Trust me it’s tough to fight tough guys. Thank you for watching and have a great day.